Hossam Badrawi Official Website
The Arab Spring..between fact and fiction
Dr. Hossam Badrawi
It was a disappointment to those who thought that overthrowing corrupt rulers would lead to an immediate improvement in their standard of living, the chronic instability experienced by countries that underwent major political transitions placed an additional burden on local economies.
The revolutionary young man said: Nine years have passed since the revolution that changed everything in the region, and we were in our early twenties at the time, and our appreciation of things was different, and our rush was without experience, but only with a passion for dignity and freedom. Isn’t it time to talk about it?
I said: What matters to me is the future, and that we not repeat the same mistakes.
His colleague said: Where do you start?
I said: I will start with science, as most people assume that their knowledge of the truth depends on the traditional senses of the human body, and this is because our mind makes this perception according to its perceptive senses.
The young woman said: Is the opposite true, is everything that cannot be grasped or perceived with our senses considered unreal and non-existent?
I said: The paradox here is that the opposite is not true, as imagination may be a reality that has not yet existed, and some party is working to create it. There is apprehension that all the facts that are presented to us in the media, whether the way they are presented or the way they are discussed and analyzed, are all perceptions and impressions that, by repetition, turn into facts. Politicians are now more involved, as they have the knowledge and ability to employ social sciences to master and anticipate the movement of the masses, and indeed its manufacture. Gustave Lebon, the French sociologist and anthropologist, had worked on the study of the collective mind of the crowd, and explained the existence of a new entity arising from the amalgamation of people together. The people are based on their opinions and beliefs, but rather their personal values.
The first young man said: What did he say?
I said: Libon spoke in detail about 3 main processes that affect the behavior of the crowd: anonymity, revelation, and contagion. Anonymity gives a feeling of losing personal responsibility, and the person becomes more primitive, emotional, and unfettered, and gives him a feeling of invincibility. Contagion means the spread of certain behavior during the crowd “such as riots such as smashing windows and throwing stones”, where a person initiates the behavior, others follow, and behaviors such as sacrificing personal interest for the collective interest appear. Suggestion is the mechanism by which contagion is transmitted, strong chants make the unconscious racist, and the crowd becomes homogeneous, flexible and receptive to the suggestions of its most powerful members, those who lead the march, crowd, or demonstration, where they can with their loud voice lead and direct the group. They are now trained, and the course of any major demonstration can be largely predetermined by their leadership. With today’s technology, bringing people together, working on them, and preparing them has become a science and art, as unlimited connections make it possible and verifiable. The positive collective mind of the fans of a football match makes them play one team against the other, and we now understand, that the energy that moves people arises through the collective mind of the crowd that creates the energy, and in this way also historical leaders used to spread positive energy in the crowds with their enthusiastic speeches.
The young man said: What is the origin of the expression “Arab Spring”?
I said: The historical reference of the term goes back to the turmoil in Eastern Europe in 1989 when the powerful communist regimes began to fall under the pressure of mass popular protests in succession, in the manner of the fall of the dominoes. In a short period of time, most of the countries of the former communist bloc adopted democratic political systems with a free market economy, in contrast to what they had been in successive decades.. Events in the Middle East went in a different direction. Egypt entered an institutional collapse, as did Tunisia in a different way, a revolution took place in Sudan, and Syria, Libya, Iraq and Yemen entered civil wars, while the rich monarchies in the Gulf remained unaffected by these events despite being totalitarian regimes.. The first specific use of The “Arab Spring” denotes events that have already occurred, and it was in the Journal of American Foreign Policy, where Mark Lynch highlighted it in his article on the foreign policies of the United States. Controlled Chaos (Reality) As with tradition, a newborn’s father has the right to name his child, and thus the name came from the United States. Later it was revealed that many of the youth leaders of these demonstrations were trained and financed in Eastern Europe by the intelligence of influential major countries, and they did not deny this when the revolutions succeeded in overthrowing the regimes. Political demonstrators in monarchies such as Jordan and Morocco demanded reform of the system under the current rulers and the Gulf. As for the peoples living under republican regimes such as Egypt and Tunisia, they wanted to overthrow the president and his regime, but unlike free elections, they had no ideas of what to do after that other than more calls for social justice. They had little idea of what to do next, as there is no magic wand to reform the economy or overcome poverty.. The fact is that Egypt and Tunisia in particular were standing on a high level of a sound economic trend that increased growth and could have led to booms gigantic economics. On the ground, leftist groups and unions wanted higher wages, and the abolition of privatization deals, while hard-line Islamists were more interested in declaring the application of strict Islamic law as a means to control peoples and return to the caliphate through their interpretations, and sought to fill the political vacuum left by the revolutions, in a form prepared by The events are partially or completely in cooperation with the agencies
An intelligence agency, in my opinion, belongs to America, Britain and Israel. I cannot ignore the experimental project of the United States that emerged with the invasion of Iraq, after building the world’s (illusory) belief that Iraq has weapons of mass destruction (which was proven to be a lie) and decided to send the American army (considered to be the most powerful armies in the world) to demolish all the institutions in Iraq, creating a vacuum The social and political situation that followed the chaos and civil war, the loss of oil wealth, and its impact on the emergence of the so-called Islamic State in Iraq and the Levant (ISIS). The illusory form imposed by America and the West in the countries in which revolutions occurred was democracy and respect for human rights, considering that democracy is only the ballot box, knowing that what precedes and follows the voting and elections process is full of deception, which removes democracy from its essence, so it is controlled by those who own the funding and organization And the weapon…
The educated young woman said: The question is: Did the Arab Spring succeed or fail?
It was disappointing, I said, to those who thought that overthrowing corrupt rulers would lead to an immediate improvement in their standard of living. The chronic instability experienced by countries that underwent major political transformations put an additional burden on local economies, and revealed deep divisions between Islamists, some of them, and secularists who dream of freedom. And the separation of the church and the mosque from the state. With the flow of information over the Internet, and YouTube making huge numbers of videos containing supposed facts and various news, making each person a hero or a villain, the confusion between illusion and reality has become as deep as it was not before. People reconsider what they see because of their exposure to conflicting and contradictory news, and perhaps also a loss of confidence in everything that is presented to them. The difficulty now has become to confirm the truth, amid a lot of deception, rumors, allegations, lies, propaganda and counter-propaganda.
